HomeNews/Essays Science Reinforces Human Role as Climate Change Impacts Accelerate (with commentary)
Science Reinforces Human Role as Climate Change Impacts Accelerate (with commentary)
by World Resources Institute
18 July 2009
A new report of scientific findings confirms not only that human activity is the primary cause of rising temperatures, but that climate change impacts are accelerating.
Critical Comment: World Resources Institute's new study is frightening for its convincing data and
restrained tone. WRI, however, is part of the establishment believing in more energy
needed to power the economic system. While it's understandable that one would desire
more power forevermore from technology for unending manufacturing for appliances, etc.,
it is past time for the present industrial system to prove it can fit into nature
harmoniously. With no concept of simple living and bioregional, tribal cultures
inheriting the residue of petrocollapse and climate extinction, WRI's best role ought to
be to sound the alarm and now be ignored as to "solutions."
WRI kindly had its energy staffer James MacKenzie on our organization's advisory board for many
years. Rather than get closer, the two organizations are staring at each other across
the crossroads of human development and the future of life, with vastly different world
views and values. (And of course slightly different funding levels!) -- Jan Lundberg
The compilation of peer-reviewed research includes evidence that
melting rates for mountain glaciers around the world doubled between
2004 and 2006, and that more than 28,000 plant and animal species are
changing habits due to new climatic conditions.
Levin said the trends may seem less surprising because we are
inundated with so many stories about global warming. But as a co-
author for the past four years of WRI's annual compilation, she added
that the repeated reconfirmation of trends should support the need for
rapid and substantial greenhouse gas mitigation and adaptation efforts
worldwide.
The report is broken into four sections, which include some of the
following sample findings:
Physical Climate:
The rate of growth of global carbon dioxide emissions between 2000 and
2007 was four times that of the previous decade.
A large majority of warming over the last century can be attributed to
human activities rather than natural factors, such as solar variability.
If atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations reach 700 parts per
million by 2100 (concentrations in 2008 were 385.57 parts per
million), daily maximum temperatures are projected to rise to 104
degrees Fahrenheit in the U.S. Midwest and Southern Europe and exceed
122 degrees Fahrenheit in Australia, India, the Middle East, and parts
of Africa.
Sea ice loss in the Arctic could have the potential to warm ground up
to 930 miles inland, threatening to trigger "rapid degradation" of
permafrost.
This section includes studies in the areas of abrupt change, GHG and
aerosol concentrations, temperature, and ocean behavior.
Hydrological Cycle:
From 1996 to 2006, the rate of ice mass loss of Antarctica increased
by 75 percent.
The rate of melting and thinning of 30 glaciers across nine mountain
ranges around the world doubled between 2004-2005 and 2005-2006.
Up to 60 percent of the hydrological changes in the Western United
States are due to human activities, a trend which, if sustained,
"portends a coming crisis in water supply."
This section includes studies in the areas of glacial and snow melt,
water supply, and storms.
Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services:
Changes in 28,800 plant and animal systems and 829 physical climate
systems have led scientists to conclude that human-induced warming is
already "having a significant impact" on natural and physical systems.
Due to climate change-induced beetle infestations, the forests of
British Columbia will turn from a small net sink of carbon dioxide to
a large net source by 2020, with emissions trumping those related to
forest fires.
If carbon dioxide emissions continue unabated, tropical ocean "dead
zones" are likely to increase by 50 percent by 2100.
This section includes studies in the areas of both marine and
terrestrial ecosystems.
Mitigation Technologies:
A promising method of capturing carbon dioxide directly from the air
is under development.
A new non-toxic, inexpensive technology for storing solar energy, with
potential applications for generating hydrogen power, has been
discovered.
This section includes studies in the areas of solar, thermoelectric,
biofuels, wave energy, batteries and ultracapacitors, and carbon
capture.
WRI's review includes peer-reviewed 2008 science and technology
publications, including those from key general scientific and
technical journals.
For more information, contact: Paul Mackie, WRI Director of Media
Relations, 1-202-729-7684,
Culture Change mailing address: P.O. Box 3387, Santa Cruz, California, 95063, USA, Telephone 1-215-243-3144 (and fax). Culture Change was founded by Sustainable Energy Institute (formerly Fossil Fuels Policy Action), a nonprofit organization.
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